Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#165
Pace75.2#66
Improvement-5.4#339

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#44
First Shot+7.4#21
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#277
Layup/Dunks-0.2#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+12.1#1
Freethrows-1.7#294
Improvement-2.4#289

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#330
First Shot-4.0#292
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#347
Layups/Dunks-6.7#344
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#28
Freethrows+2.7#41
Improvement-3.0#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 109   Illinois W 93-81 32%     1 - 0 +15.9 +14.6 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2015 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 106-84 94%     2 - 0 +3.1 +14.8 -13.4
  Nov 21, 2015 11   @ Louisville L 61-89 4%     2 - 1 -8.1 +0.5 -8.7
  Nov 24, 2015 211   @ Saint Louis L 57-70 48%     2 - 2 -13.3 -13.3 +0.1
  Nov 27, 2015 320   @ Hartford W 81-60 76%     3 - 2 +12.8 -5.4 +16.3
  Nov 28, 2015 274   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-65 73%     4 - 2 +5.7 +10.0 -3.6
  Dec 02, 2015 75   @ LSU L 108-119 15%     4 - 3 -0.5 +18.5 -17.0
  Dec 05, 2015 58   @ Dayton L 71-86 11%     4 - 4 -2.7 +4.4 -6.5
  Dec 14, 2015 236   Florida International W 94-72 74%     5 - 4 +14.5 +17.2 -2.5
  Dec 16, 2015 228   Austin Peay W 80-70 71%     6 - 4 +3.2 -2.6 +5.2
  Dec 19, 2015 350   Florida A&M W 87-70 95%     7 - 4 -3.3 +5.0 -9.3
  Dec 22, 2015 66   @ Arkansas L 72-97 13%     7 - 5 -13.9 -2.0 -9.5
  Dec 30, 2015 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-80 8%     7 - 6 +2.6 +2.3 +0.6
  Jan 02, 2016 159   @ Eastern Michigan W 82-77 34%     8 - 6 +8.3 +17.9 -9.2
  Jan 06, 2016 283   @ Stetson W 97-79 66%     9 - 6 1 - 0 +13.0 +10.3 +1.2
  Jan 09, 2016 273   Jacksonville W 83-68 81%     10 - 6 2 - 0 +4.9 +0.6 +3.5
  Jan 14, 2016 279   Lipscomb W 95-83 82%     11 - 6 3 - 0 +1.5 +7.8 -7.3
  Jan 16, 2016 258   Kennesaw St. W 93-78 78%     12 - 6 4 - 0 +6.0 +13.4 -7.7
  Jan 21, 2016 321   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-62 76%     13 - 6 5 - 0 +7.7 +2.4 +5.8
  Jan 24, 2016 223   @ NJIT W 94-80 49%     14 - 6 6 - 0 +13.4 +13.6 -1.4
  Jan 30, 2016 188   Florida Gulf Coast W 82-76 64%     15 - 6 7 - 0 +1.5 +7.2 -5.6
  Feb 01, 2016 283   Stetson L 82-86 83%     15 - 7 7 - 1 -14.9 -2.3 -12.4
  Feb 06, 2016 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 65-81 41%     15 - 8 7 - 2 -14.6 -2.9 -12.9
  Feb 11, 2016 258   @ Kennesaw St. L 91-101 59%     15 - 9 7 - 3 -13.2 +5.8 -17.9
  Feb 13, 2016 279   @ Lipscomb L 87-94 64%     15 - 10 7 - 4 -11.7 -1.2 -9.5
  Feb 18, 2016 223   NJIT W 107-71 70%     16 - 10 8 - 4 +29.5 +23.6 +3.3
  Feb 20, 2016 321   South Carolina Upstate W 81-78 89%     17 - 10 9 - 4 -11.1 -1.7 -9.4
  Feb 25, 2016 273   @ Jacksonville W 81-80 63%     18 - 10 10 - 4 -3.2 +1.4 -4.7
  Mar 01, 2016 321   South Carolina Upstate W 92-69 89%     19 - 10 +8.9 +7.9 +0.2
  Mar 03, 2016 188   Florida Gulf Coast L 56-89 64%     19 - 11 -37.5 -15.0 -25.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%